Dr.Rablen and Dr.Oswald have just published a study which
concludes that Nobel science laureates live significantly longer than those of
their colleagues who were nominated for a prize, but failed to receive one. They
work with data from 1901 to 1950, and the search is restricted to men (to avoid
differences in life span between the sexes), and those killed prematurely are
eliminated. That gave them 135 prize winners and 389 also-rans.
The theory they were testing was that status itself, rather than the trappings
of status, such as wealth, act to prolong life. This idea was first declared by
Sir Michael Marmot, of University College, London. Sir Michael studied the
health of British civil servants and discovered, contrary to his and everyone
else’s expectations, that those at the top of the hierarchy — whom the stress of
the job was expected to have affected adversely — were actually far healthier
than the supposedly unstressed functionaries at the bottom of the heap.
Subsequent research has confirmed this result, and suggested it is nothing to do
with the larger salaries of those at the top. But Dr.Rablen and Dr.Oswald
thought it would be interesting to reline the observation still further, by
studying individuals who were all, in a sense, at the top. By comparing people
good enough to be considered for a Nobel, they could measure what the status of
having one was worth. Comparing winners and also-rans from
within the same countries, to avoid yet another source of bias, Dr.Rablen and
Dr.Oswald found that the winners lived, on average, two years longer than those
who had merely been nominated. Exactly what causes this increased longevity is
unclear. It is not the cash, though. The inflation-adjusted value of the prize
has fluctuated over the years, so the two researchers were able to see if the
purchasing power of the money was correlated with longevity. It was
not. With the hierarchically ordered individuals studied by Sir
Michael and his successors, both medical records and experiments on animals
suggest stress hormones are involved. It is, indeed, more stressful to be at the
bottom than the top, even if being at the top involves making decisions on the
fate of nations. The result Dr.Rablen and Dr.Oswald have come up with, though,
suggests a positive effect associated with high status, rather than the absence
of a negative effect, since unsuccessful nominees never know that they have been
nominated. A similar effect has been noted once before, in a
different held. Research published a few years ago by Donald Redelmeier and
Sheldon Singh showed that Oscar winning actors and actresses live 3.6 years
longer than those who are nominated, but do not win. However, in that case the
failed nominees do know that they have failed. And, curiously, Oscar winning
scriptwriters live 3.6 years less than do nominees. Perhaps writers, unlike
actors and scientists, live in a world of inverted snobbery. What has been done to avoid sources of bias in Dr.Rablen and
Dr.Oswald’s study
A. Excluding the abnormal deaths.
B. Selecting more prize nominees than winners.
C. Having all subjects from the same country.
D. Assuming inflation as an irrelevant factor.