· For each question (15-20), mark one letter (A, B, C or D) on
your Answer Sheet. SHOPPERS on Black Friday, the
traditional start of the holiday shopping season in America, which falls on
November 27th this year, are notoriously aggressive. Some even start queuing
outside stores before dawn to be the first to lay their hands on heavily
discounted merchandise. Last year berserk bargain-hunters in the suburbs of New
York City trampled a Wal-Mart employee to death. Despite the frenzy at many
stores, however, the recession appears to have accelerated the pace at which
shoppers are abandoning bricks and mortar in favour of online
retailers—e-tailers, in the jargon. So this year Black Friday (so named because
it is supposed to put shops into profit for the year) also marks the start of
many conventional retailers’ attempts to regain the initiative.
E-commerce holds particular appeal in straitened times as it enables people to
compare prices across retailers quickly and easily. Buyers can sometimes avoid
local sales taxes online, and shipping is often free. No wonder, then, that
online shopping continues to grow even as the offline sort shrinks. In 2008
retail sales grew by a feeble 1% in America and are expected to decline by more
than 3% this year, according to the National Retail Federation, a trade body. In
contrast, online sales grew by 13% in 2008 to over $141 billion and are
predicted to grow by 11% in 2009, according to Forrester, a
consultancy. Online-only shopping sites such as Amazon and
eBay, two e-commerce giants, have thrived in the downturn. Amazon’s sales rose
to around $5.5 billion in the third quarter of the year, up by almost 30% from a
year before. Listings, chiefly from commercial vendors, have surged so rapidly
on eBay that its website briefly crashed on November 21st. The range of items
available online is also growing. Amazon has started selling groceries.
Consumer-goods companies such as Procter & Gamble (P & G) are
encouraging the sale of things like nappies (diapers) and laundry detergent
online. At the opposite extreme, the internet is also being used to sell luxury
goods. Fabergé, a defunct jewellery-maker known for its gem-encrusted eggs,
relaunched in September. It will not open any shops but will instead operate
only online. The shift in spending to the internet is good news
for companies like P & G that lack retail outlets of their own. But it is a
big concern for brick-and-mortar retailers, whose prices are often higher than
those of e-tailers, since they must bear the extra expense of running stores.
Happily, however, conventional retailers are in a better position to fight back
than last year, when overstocking forced them to resort to ruinous discounting.
Inventories are about 15% lower this year. Some big retailers, such as Saks and
Target, have recently reported rising revenues and margins. The
concept of "multichannel" shopping, where people can buy the same items from the
same retailer in several different ways—online, via their mobile phones and in
shops—is gaining ground, and retailers are trying to encourage users of one
channel to try another. Growing online traffic may actually increase sales in
stores too. According to a spokesman for Macy’s, a department-store chain, every
dollar a consumer spends online with Macy’s leads to $5.70 in spending at a
Macy’s store within ten days, because consumers learn about other products
online and come into stores to look them over before buying them. Many online
retailers offer tools that let people locate the nearest outlet that has a given
item in stock. Retailers are also trying to make shopping seem
fun and exciting to counteract the economic gloom. One common tactic is to set
up "pop-up" stores, which appear for a short time before vanishing again, to
foster a sense of novelty and urgency. Following the lead of many
bricks-and-mortar outfits, eBay recently launched a pop-up in New York where
customers could inspect items before ordering them from kiosks. In paragraph two, the writer mentions that in 2009 the offline sales is
predicted to
A. grow by 11%.
B. continue to grow.
C. fall by no less than 3%.
D. grow feebly.